2026 RedBud National Motocross Fantasy Picks: July 4 Showdown

The 2026 Pro Motocross AMA National Championship Series roars back to life this Independence Day at RedBud MX, the self-proclaimed “America’s Motocross Track,” coinciding with the nation’s 250th birthday. The patriotic spectacle promises a rowdy crowd and a stacked field, but fantasy players on RMFantasyMX need more than just hype—they need winners. Here’s the breakdown for the RedBud National fantasy lineup, with every pick rooted in recent form and head-to-head trends.

Jett Lawrence (Honda) is the top pick after a week off to nurse a severe ankle injury suffered last December. The Australian has already built a two-point cushion in the 450cc standings with two wins and four podiums in four rounds, and RedBud’s technical layout plays to his strengths. Hunter Lawrence (Honda), his brother and defending champ, is a close second, fresh off four podiums and four top-fives of his own. With the Lawrence brothers combining for every overall win, moto win, and half of the runner-up finishes this season, the patriotic crowd will be treated to a potential Lawrence Brothers Show 2.0.

Haiden Deegan (Yamaha) locks in the third spot as Mr. Consistency. The 2025 250cc champ has finished third in half of this year’s motos and already has two third-place overall results. No one else is close.

Jorge Prado (KTM) edges out Aaron Plessinger (KTM) and Garrett Marchbanks (Kawasaki) for the fourth spot, thanks to a 2-17-5-4 moto card that suggests his Hangtown stumble was a fluke. Prado’s top-five finishes lead the trio, and a strong RedBud run could vault him into the overall podium mix. Plessinger, meanwhile, is trending upward with back-to-back rounds of 6-7-6-4 motos, including a P7 and P5 overall. The Cowboy is hungry on July 4 and could surprise if Prado slips. Marchbanks, steady as a rock with no moto lower than sixth since the opener, rounds out the top five.

Mikkel Haarup (Triumph) takes the Wild Card at P8 after converting two P8 motos into a P7 overall last round at High Point. His late surge and consistency make him the safer fantasy play over RJ Hampshire, who’s also been in the P8 mix but lacks Haarup’s momentum.

The 450cc standings after four of 11 rounds read like a who’s who of motocross royalty: Jett Lawrence leads with 182 points (2 wins, 4 podiums, 4 top-fives), followed by Hunter Lawrence at 180 (2 wins, 4 podiums, 4 top-fives). Haiden Deegan sits third with 144 points (2 podiums, 3 top-fives), while Prado (122), Hampshire (121), Marchbanks (116), and Plessinger (102) round out the top tier. The depth of the field is evident, with riders like Dylan Ferrandis (97), Cooper Webb (83), and Christian Craig (69) lurking just outside the fantasy sweet spot.

RedBud MX isn’t just another stop—it’s the July 4 showdown where legends are made and fantasy points are won. With the Lawrence brothers primed for a statement run and Deegan’s relentless consistency, the top three are nearly locked. The battle for P4 and P5, however, is a toss-up where Prado’s raw speed, Plessinger’s late surge, and Marchbanks’ rock-solid consistency could swing the needle. Pick wisely, because at RedBud, the crowd’s roar isn’t just patriotic—it’s prophetic.